Ukraine’s partners would promise “multi-decade” investments in the country’s defence industry, massive weapons transfers, training, joint exercises and intelligence support. The compact would require neither Russia’s assent nor Ukraine’s neutrality. In some circumstances, there could be military intervention to help Ukraine. Through this the Kremlin has shown little interest in a political settlement other than a Ukrainian capitulation. It is expected that the Russian President will use the occasion to formally declare war on Ukraine and call up a full mobilisation of troops (especially conscripts). So attention has turned to interim, or alternative, arrangements. Given what’s at stake — not just the survival of Ukraine but of the whole international order — that would be risky. Another emerging challenge, if we are to enter a period of shorter business cycles, is how to organise institutions, companies and the process of innovation. Ultimately, he says, whether the war in Ukraine lasts weeks, months, or years, depends on individual actions that run the gamut from those of world leaders, to ordinary citizens and soldiers. From the very beginning of the war, President Putin has drawn parallels between the Soviet Union's victory over Nazi Germany in World War II and the current military campaign against supposed neo-Nazis in Ukraine. That hasn't let up, if only because it's a powerful emotional and recruitment tool. Twenty million Soviets — Russians, Ukrainians and others — died fighting Hitler's armies. There seems to be some degree of sensitivity in Ukraine to Russia's claims it's waging a proxy war with the West over Ukraine. Do the hawks in the Kremlin think Russia can survive an escalation that includes nuclear strikes? The US played a key role in deposing a friendly and elected President in Ukraine in 2014. There can be no solution that does not give these concerns due weight. The attacking Egyptian army was drastically defeated by the Israelis. Well, it’s because the Egyptian army showed that they were able to cross the Suez Canal and with it all the booby traps and barricades that Israel had built on the Suez Canal. But Ukraine joining NATO could itself be how the war ends, consistent with Biden’s current policy — and at a time and on terms set by Ukraine and its allies, not by Russia. But one assumption did prove wrong - that Moscow's military would prevail in a matter of weeks. Washington has never been interested in anyone’s interests other than its own. It's widely accepted that several innovations now need to happen at once for the front lines to change significantly. 7) Introduce a ceasefire-no more weapons resolution for discussion and passage by a political club, union, religious institution or service organization. The alternative is endless great power conflict with all the attendant waste of resources and danger of bloodshed and destruction. This dispute could and should be resolved peacefully, and that remains the only basis for a lasting settlement, rather than the imposition of military solutions. That it has not been resolved is not, however, the responsibility of the Russian or Ukrainian governments alone. What are the Secretary-General’s ‘good offices’? This experience demonstrates that we should not necessarily assume that the best way to deal with an ongoing war is to urge negotiations to bring it to a quick conclusion based on mutual concessions. When both sides acknowledge that they have no chance of victory, then a negotiation may make sense. But the most stable outcomes are those resulting from one side prevailing, especially when the defeated side has been engaged, as Russia has in Ukraine, in an unwelcome and oppressive occupation of another state’s territory. The same phenomenon could be observed in the Indo-Pakistani War of 1971, as India pressed forward in December with its invasion of East Pakistan – which as a result became Bangladesh. In this case India’s leaders obtained the Pakistani forces’ surrender before the Security Council could pass a resolution. In 1954 the Vietnamese communists prepared for scheduled negotiations over the country’s future by intensifying their efforts against the French, culminating in the latter’s defeat at Dien Bien Phu. Ukraine shoots most of these down with its air defense missiles. With its retreat from Kherson, Russia has suffered its worst failure of the war since the invasion started to go wrong at the end of February. Most U.S. training takes place at U.S. military bases in Germany. They believe some of their Western allies, as well as supporters in the media, have become over-excited about Ukraine's army and its Nato equipment. The prospects for an end of the war in Ukraine remain bleak. Compared with this time last year, Vladimir Putin is stronger, politically more than militarily. Ukraine gained independence when the Soviet Union collapsed in 1991 and has since become friendly towards Nato and the West. But this isn't the first time Russia has launched a military attack in this region. Putin’s latest pronouncements comparing himself to the Tsar Peter the Great and declaring all of the old Soviet Union Russian territory should further dispel any illusions about his great power policy. No amount of pro-war propaganda nor intervention by state disinformation organs and functionaries is going to change the growth of anti-imperialist sentiment. From the start, the conflict in Ukraine has posed special challenges for the anti-war movement, marking as it does, a great power conflict rather than the neo-colonial wars we have seen previously this century. The Biden administration has said the war must end before Ukraine can join NATO, because it does not want to risk direct U.S. involvement. But it has not defined what it means, in this context, for the war to be “over.” Must there be a formal peace treaty? Senior Ukrainians are still doing their best to manage expectations about the summer offensive. They believe some of their Western allies, as well as supporters in the media, have become over-excited about Ukraine's army and its Nato equipment. When I asked the official who wanted to remain anonymous about recent tactical gains in the east, including a handful of small villages, he lifted his hand with his finger and thumb pinching the air perhaps half an inch apart. Another senior official, who spoke on condition he was not named, went further, suggesting that President Putin would be forced to dismiss his Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu and Chief of Staff General Valery Gerasimov, perhaps as a response to another military setback. Mykhailo Podolyak, another close adviser to President Zelensky, agreed there were several groups of people who want to take power in Russia. In his office, Oleksiy Danilov, the secretary of Ukraine's National Security and Defence Council, told the BBC that Prigozhin is not the most senior. They might become the new political elite. So, you have this weird case where militarily Egypt lost, and still, the Egyptians got a better deal in the end, which was clearly not a military outcome. His political life is not finished. He won't stay in exile in Belarus. Western leaders cannot bring themselves to broach these matters, which would seem to reward Putin for attempting to redraw the map by force. It has taken no steps to act on this signed commitment, nor have the western powers pushed it to. It's widely accepted that several innovations now need to happen at once for the front lines to change significantly. A new £2.5bn military aid package from the UK has been welcomed here, with £200m of that earmarked specifically for drones. But President Volodymyr Zelensky has also pledged to make a million of them within the borders of Ukraine. https://euronewstop.co.uk/why-did-ukraine-not-take-the-knee.html makes it through, and Artem returns to the block of flats. But it is not beyond the realms of plausibility that such a scenario could emerge from the wreckage of a bloody conflict. A second way for Ukraine to win — at least theoretically — would be through a diplomatic agreement. Any settlement based on that plan would, of course, be wonderful. The differences should be negotiated peacefully, respecting Ukrainian rights and Russian security concerns. Our focus is, however, on the British government – how it has contributed to the present situation through its post-Cold War policy of backing NATO expansion and moving its own troops eastwards, and how its bellicose rhetoric and arms sales are aggravating it now. Our contribution to peace must lie in forcing our own government to assist de-escalation of the crisis. These are the processes that went so badly wrong in Afghanistan in August 2021. These examples all come from wars that were decided through battles between regular forces. Many wars are of a different type – civil wars, for example, in which the regular forces of the state face irregular opponents, relying on terrorism or guerrilla warfare, sometimes with both sides having external supporters. There were a series of such conflicts after 1945, as the European empires struggled to hold on to their colonies until they realised that they were bound to lose. For those who believe the priority must be to stop the bloodshed, this can be hard to fathom. As soon as a war starts outsiders will step forward with proposals to end the fighting and resolve the underlying dispute.
https://euronewstop.co.uk/why-did-ukraine-not-take-the-knee.html
